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Super Micro Computer

SMCI-US · Nasdaq
$35.17-5.56%
2026-08-24 close

Super Micro Computer — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

The grade and valuation bands are below — free to read.

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2 gurus reporting 13F holdings — Bridgewater (founded by Ray Dalio), Soros Fund (founded by George Soros)
AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

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New high + volume — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every new-high-plus-volume pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-25)

Last 30 sessions
257 picks
Next-day win rate
41%
Avg next-day
-0.41%
vs market
-0.58%p

Beat the market on 40.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
08-21 42.9%08-20 57.1%08-19 11.1%08-18 75%08-17 50%08-14 66.7%08-13 16.7%08-12 25%08-11 45.5%08-10 23.1%08-07 54.5%08-06 46.2%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Trade plan

Decide the exit before you enter. Set what you are willing to lose first, and the share count follows — so you know the worst case before you buy.

Fill entry, stop, account size and risk percent to get a share count. The stop must sit below the entry.

This is a calculator, not advice, and it does not promise any outcome. You choose the stop and target — the button values (ATR, recent low/high) are observations from past prices. Actual fills depend on the order book and liquidity.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 127 IT하드웨어 peers · not investment advice

A
Overall: IT하드웨어 15/127 · top 11%
Factor composite · relative position in sector

Valuation in its own history

PER 20.02 · PBR 3.33 — own history (2007-03~) percentiles 35/100 · 18/100

PER35/100
PBR18/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2025
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 6.90
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
6.90
Beneish M-Score
-2.48

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
-4.36%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

차입 증가 → 이자부담 → 수익성 악화

Critical

부채가 +75.0% 늘며 이자보상배율이 62.6x에서 20.5x로 하락했다. ROE도 22.4%에서 19.4%로 낮아져 차입 부담이 수익성을 누르고 있다.

Evidence

부채 YoY +75.0%이자보상배율 62.6x→20.5xROE 22.4%→19.4%

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

5/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score5/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROANot passed
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioPass
  • No new sharesNot passed

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverPass

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-25

IT하드웨어

This stock is in IT하드웨어: revenue rank 10 of 125, share 2.2%.

10 / 1252.2%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Apple40.9%
  2. 2Dell Technologies Class C9.4%
  3. 3TD Synnex5.7%
  4. 4Cisco Systems5.6%
  5. 5HP5.4%
  6. 6Super Micro Computer2.2%

Concentration

ModerateCR3 56%
HHI 1,901125 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
14.98
Direction
확대
Level
보통
Years
8

Value lens

P90/P10
27.6
Median P/B
2.4
Level
넓음
n
107

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
5.6%
Interest coverage
20.5x
Return on equity (ROE)
16.6%

Operating margin −5pp

Severe margin pressure
Interest coverageBase 20.5x adverse case 2.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 16.6% adverse case 1%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 20.5x adverse case 17.4x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 16.6% adverse case 15.5%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 20.5x adverse case 5.7x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 16.6% adverse case 16%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 5.3pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 0.3%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Super Micro Computer's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Who held it · filings

Filed record

A historical record from curated-guru 13F filings and DART 5%+ major-holding disclosures.

US 13F는 분기 공시이며 최대 45일 뒤 제출될 수 있습니다.

Curated gurus reporting this holding

A curated subset of well-known investors — not the full institutional ownership.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

🔗 See in the full market map →

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $3M(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

Look up another stock →

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

New MA alignment×1
26-08-21·

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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