Margin trendWarning
영업외손익 급변 (영업이익 대비 312% 규모 변동) — 일회성 손익 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Mercer International
MERC-US · Nasdaq$0.4010-5.76%
2026-08-24 closeMercer International — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?
The grade and valuation bands are below — free to read.
Loading chart…
Close
AI Insight
Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly
New high + volume — the real recordrecord · not a prediction
Not this one stock, but every new-high-plus-volume pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-25)
Last 30 sessions
257 picks
Next-day win rate
41%
Avg next-day
-0.41%
vs market
-0.58%p
Beat the market on 40.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).
Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
08-21 42.9%08-20 57.1%08-19 11.1%08-18 75%08-17 50%08-14 66.7%08-13 16.7%08-12 25%08-11 45.5%08-10 23.1%08-07 54.5%08-06 46.2%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.
Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.
Trade plan
Decide the exit before you enter. Set what you are willing to lose first, and the share count follows — so you know the worst case before you buy.
Fill entry, stop, account size and risk percent to get a share count. The stop must sit below the entry.
This is a calculator, not advice, and it does not promise any outcome. You choose the stop and target — the button values (ATR, recent low/high) are observations from past prices. Actual fills depend on the order book and liquidity.
Valuation Grades
Relative to 119 비철,목재등 peers · not investment advice
B
Overall: 비철,목재등 50/119 · top 42%
Factor composite · relative position in sector
Valuation in its own history
PER — · PBR 0.06 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 0/100 · 100/100
PER0/100
PBR100/100
Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).
Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.
Annual dividend
Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes
Paid 11 consecutive years · Raised 0 consecutive years · Yield 37.41% (based on 2025 payment of $0.15) · 3-year growth -20.6%
Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.
Financial safety
Reference indicatorAs of 2024Grey zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 2.52
Distress
Grey
Safe
- Altman Z''
- 2.52
- Beneish M-Score
- -3.25
- Sloan accrual
- -7.75%
No statistical flag
부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score
5/9Moderate
Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.
Financial improvement score5/9
Profitability
- Positive ROANot passed
- Positive OCFPass
- Improving ΔROAPass
- Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass
Leverage & liquidity
- Lower debtNot passed
- Higher current ratioNot passed
- No new sharesNot passed
Efficiency
- Higher gross marginPass
- Higher asset turnoverPass
Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사
Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Forensic signals
Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Industry structure
USAs of 2026-08-25비철,목재등
This stock is in 비철,목재등: revenue rank 29 of 72, share 0.8%.
29 / 720.8%revenue share
Who dominates this industry?
- 1Freeport McMoRan9.7%
- 2Newmont7.1%
- 3International Paper7.1%
- 4Amcor5.7%
- 5Alcoa4.5%
- 6Mercer International0.8%
Concentration
DistributedCR3 23.9%HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.
Polarization
Winner-take-all deepeningConsistentPolarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.
Margin lens
- IQR%p
- 29.01
- Direction
- 확대
- Level
- 넓음
- Years
- 20
Value lens
- P90/P10
- 10.3
- Median P/B
- 2.54
- Level
- 넓음
- n
- 53
Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)
Factual information, not investment advice.
Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions
Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.
Base metrics
- Operating margin
- 0.7%
- Interest coverage
- 0.1x
- Return on equity (ROE)
- -19.8%
Operating margin −5pp
Operating lossInterest coverageBase 0.1x adverse case -0.8x
Return on equity (ROE)Base -19.8% adverse case -45.7%
Revenue −15%
Interest coverage riskInterest coverageBase 0.1x adverse case 0.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base -19.8% adverse case -22.4%
Interest rate +2pp
Interest coverage riskInterest coverageBase 0.1x adverse case 0.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base -19.8% adverse case -30.4%
Interest coverage limit
Already below the limit by 4.6ppInterest coverage limit at an operating margin of 5.3%
Interest expense coverage threshold
Financials at a glance
Mercer International's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.
Connections
AI-extracted related companies · for reference
Customers
Competitors
CanforWest Fraser TimberInternational PaperPrice comovement r=0.47 (1 year)SappiUPM-KymmeneSuzanoAraucoNorske SkogStora EnsoMondi
Recent filings
Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.
Like these rules? Run them automatically.
Quantus turns rules like these into backtests and automated trading — same team, free to start.
Quantus Signal · live data · not investment advice · Privacy Policy