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CarMax

KMX-US · New York Stock Exchange
$62.80+1.08%
2026-08-24 close

CarMax — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

The grade and valuation bands are below — free to read.

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CloseMA20MA60MA120
AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
Yes · score 0.82
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New high + volume — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every new-high-plus-volume pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-25)

Last 30 sessions
257 picks
Next-day win rate
41%
Avg next-day
-0.41%
vs market
-0.58%p

Beat the market on 40.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
08-21 42.9%08-20 57.1%08-19 11.1%08-18 75%08-17 50%08-14 66.7%08-13 16.7%08-12 25%08-11 45.5%08-10 23.1%08-07 54.5%08-06 46.2%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Trade plan

Decide the exit before you enter. Set what you are willing to lose first, and the share count follows — so you know the worst case before you buy.

Fill entry, stop, account size and risk percent to get a share count. The stop must sit below the entry.

This is a calculator, not advice, and it does not promise any outcome. You choose the stop and target — the button values (ATR, recent low/high) are observations from past prices. Actual fills depend on the order book and liquidity.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 127 소매(유통) peers · not investment advice

C
Overall: 소매(유통) 94/127 · top 74%
Factor composite · relative position in sector

Valuation in its own history

PER 17.95 · PBR 1.44 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 70/100 · 88/100

PER70/100
PBR88/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2025
Grey zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 1.67
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
1.67
Beneish M-Score
-2.70

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
-0.45%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

8/9Strong

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score8/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFPass
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtPass
  • Higher current ratioPass
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginPass
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-25

소매(유통)

This stock is in 소매(유통): revenue rank 13 of 123, share 1.3%.

13 / 1231.3%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Amazon Com31.1%
  2. 2Costco Wholesale13.4%
  3. 3Home Depot7.8%
  4. 4Target5.2%
  5. 5Lowe`s Companies4.1%
  6. 6CarMax1.3%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 52.3%
HHI 1,292123 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
10.36
Direction
확대
Level
보통
Years
8

Value lens

P90/P10
22.3
Median P/B
2.91
Level
넓음
n
103

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
2.5%
Interest coverage
4x
Return on equity (ROE)
8%

Operating margin −5pp

Operating loss
Interest coverageBase 4x adverse case -3.8x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 8% adverse case -13.1%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 4x adverse case 3.4x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 8% adverse case 6.4%

Interest rate +2pp

Interest coverage risk
Interest coverageBase 4x adverse case 1.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 8% adverse case 1.2%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 1.9pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 0.6%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

CarMax's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

🔗 See in the full market map →

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $180M(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

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Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Signal history (last ~2 years)

Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.

52-week high breakout×2
26-08-24·26-08-21·
Golden cross×1
26-06-29+10.8%
New MA alignment×5
26-08-20·26-08-12·26-08-06·26-07-22+2.6%26-07-13+7.1%

“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.

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