매출 하락 → 마진 압박 → 현금 악화
Critical매출이 -17.7% 감소하며 영업이익률이 12.1%에서 0.8%로 하락했다. 영업현금흐름도 동반 감소하여 수익-현금 순환이 약화되고 있다.
Evidence
매출 YoY -17.7% (2023→2024)영업이익률 12.1%→0.8%영업CF 948→404
CVR Energy
CVI · New York Stock Exchange$44.50+2.11%
2026-09-04 closeCVR Energy last closed at $44.50 (+2.11%) on 2026-09-04. Signals today: 52-week high, MA aligned. Listed on New York Stock Exchange; price, financials and dividends update daily after market close.
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CloseMA20MA60MA120
Market Leader RS 91 · top 9%
New high + volume — the real recordrecord · not a prediction
Last 30 sessions
277 picks
Next-day win rate
44.2%
Avg next-day
-0.28%
vs market
-0.51%p
Every new-high-plus-volume pick we actually published (US market) — not this stock alone.
Signal history
| Date | Signal | +20 trading days |
|---|---|---|
A record, not a prediction.
How this is calculated
"·" means fewer than 20 trading days have passed since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.
Trade plan
Fill entry, stop, account size and risk percent to get a share count. The stop must sit below the entry.
A calculator · not advice or a guarantee
Financials & valuation at a glance
C+
Overall: 에너지 118/184 · top 64%
Factor composite · relative position in sector
PER 642.95 · PBR 6.4 — own-history percentile 19/100 · 3/100
Open self-history band
PER19/100
PBR3/100
Factual information · not investment advice
Past reported results · not investment advice
More — deeper indicators
Annual dividend
Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes
Consistency
F
No dividend paid in 2025 (paid through the prior year) — suspended
Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.
Financial safety
Reference indicatorAs of 2024Distress zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 0.80
Distress
Grey
Safe
- Altman Z''
- 0.80
- Beneish M-Score
- -1.47
- Sloan accrual
- -9.31%
Statistical manipulation-risk signal
부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Why has this company moved this way?
Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score
4/9Moderate
Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.
Financial improvement score4/9
Profitability
- Positive ROAPass
- Positive OCFPass
- Improving ΔROANot passed
- Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass
Leverage & liquidity
- Lower debtNot passed
- Higher current ratioPass
- No new sharesNot passed
Efficiency
- Higher gross marginNot passed
- Higher asset turnoverNot passed
Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사
Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Forensic signals
Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.
Margin trendWarning
영업이익률 악화 (12.1% → 0.8%, -11.4%p). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Margin trendWarning
영업외손익 급변 (영업이익 대비 522% 규모 변동) — 일회성 손익 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Industry structure
USAs of 2026-09-05에너지
This stock is in 에너지: revenue rank 31 of 161, share 0.5%.
31 / 1610.5%revenue share
Who dominates this industry?
- 1Exxon Mobil20.7%
- 2Chevron11.8%
- 3Phillips 668.7%
- 4Marathon Petroleum8.6%
- 5Valero Energy7.9%
- 6CVR Energy0.5%
Concentration
DistributedCR3 41.3%HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.
Polarization
Winner-take-all deepeningConsistentPolarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.
Margin lens
- IQR%p
- 73.62
- Direction
- 축소
- Level
- 넓음
- Years
- 11
Value lens
- P90/P10
- 8.7
- Median P/B
- 1.47
- Level
- 넓음
- n
- 145
Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)
Factual information, not investment advice.
Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions
Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.
Base metrics
- Operating margin
- 0.8%
- Interest coverage
- 0.8x
- Return on equity (ROE)
- 1%
Operating margin −5pp
Operating lossInterest coverageBase 0.8x adverse case -4.2x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 1% adverse case -56.8%
Revenue −15%
Interest coverage riskInterest coverageBase 0.8x adverse case 0.6x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 1% adverse case -3.9%
Interest rate +2pp
Interest coverage riskInterest coverageBase 0.8x adverse case 0.4x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 1% adverse case -12.8%
Interest coverage limit
Already below the limit by 0.2ppInterest coverage limit at an operating margin of 1%
Interest expense coverage threshold
Connections
AI-extracted related companies · for reference
Suppliers
Enterprise Products PartnersPlains All American Pipeline
Competitors
Valero EnergyPrice comovement r=0.69 (1 year)Marathon PetroleumPrice comovement r=0.64 (1 year)Phillips 66Price comovement r=0.60 (1 year)PBF EnergyPrice comovement r=0.72 (1 year)HF SinclairPrice comovement r=0.67 (1 year)Delek US HoldingsPrice comovement r=0.70 (1 year)Motiva EnterprisesAndeavor/Marathon RetailPrice comovement r=0.64 (1 year)
Same theme
Recent filings
Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.
About CVR Energy
- What technical signals does CVR Energy (CVI) have?
- CVR Energy current technical signals: MA alignment (score 0.85).
- Is CVR Energy a cup-and-handle pattern?
- No. CVR Energy has no valid cup-and-handle signal right now.
- What are CVR Energy's financials and valuation?
- CVR Energy's income statement, balance sheet and cash flow are free for the most recent 8 years; the full history is on Pro. PER/PBR, dividend yield and sector valuation bands are free.
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