Margin trendWarning
영업이익률 악화 (16.0% → 10.6%, -5.4%p). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Cenovus Energy
CVE-US · New York Stock Exchange$32.17-2.31%
2026-08-24 closeCenovus Energy — what's the grade? And what signals are flashing today?
The grade and valuation bands are below — free to read.
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1 guru reporting 13F holdings — Bridgewater (founded by Ray Dalio)AI Insight
Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly
New high + volume — the real recordrecord · not a prediction
Not this one stock, but every new-high-plus-volume pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-25)
Last 30 sessions
257 picks
Next-day win rate
41%
Avg next-day
-0.41%
vs market
-0.58%p
Beat the market on 40.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).
Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
08-21 42.9%08-20 57.1%08-19 11.1%08-18 75%08-17 50%08-14 66.7%08-13 16.7%08-12 25%08-11 45.5%08-10 23.1%08-07 54.5%08-06 46.2%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.
Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.
Trade plan
Decide the exit before you enter. Set what you are willing to lose first, and the share count follows — so you know the worst case before you buy.
Fill entry, stop, account size and risk percent to get a share count. The stop must sit below the entry.
This is a calculator, not advice, and it does not promise any outcome. You choose the stop and target — the button values (ATR, recent low/high) are observations from past prices. Actual fills depend on the order book and liquidity.
Valuation Grades
Relative to 187 에너지 peers · not investment advice
A+
Overall: 에너지 9/187 · top 4%
Factor composite · relative position in sector
Financial safety
Reference indicatorAs of 2009Grey zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 1.38
Distress
Grey
Safe
- Altman Z''
- 1.38
- Beneish M-Score
- -2.59
- Sloan accrual
- -15.03%
No statistical flag
부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score
6/9Moderate
Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.
Financial improvement score6/9
Profitability
- Positive ROAPass
- Positive OCFPass
- Improving ΔROANot passed
- Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass
Leverage & liquidity
- Lower debtPass
- Higher current ratioNot passed
- No new sharesPass
Efficiency
- Higher gross marginPass
- Higher asset turnoverNot passed
Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사
Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Forensic signals
Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Industry structure
USAs of 2026-08-25에너지
This stock is in 에너지: revenue rank 22 of 163, share 0.7%.
22 / 1630.7%revenue share
Who dominates this industry?
- 1Exxon Mobil20.7%
- 2Chevron11.8%
- 3Phillips 668.7%
- 4Marathon Petroleum8.6%
- 5Valero Energy7.9%
- 6Cenovus Energy0.7%
Concentration
DistributedCR3 41.2%HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.
Polarization
Winner-take-all deepeningConsistentPolarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.
Margin lens
- IQR%p
- 73.62
- Direction
- 축소
- Level
- 넓음
- Years
- 11
Value lens
- P90/P10
- 8.6
- Median P/B
- 1.43
- Level
- 넓음
- n
- 147
Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)
Factual information, not investment advice.
Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions
Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.
Base metrics
- Operating margin
- 10.6%
- Interest coverage
- 2.5x
- Return on equity (ROE)
- 7.7%
Operating margin −5pp
Interest coverage riskInterest coverageBase 2.5x adverse case 1.3x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 7.7% adverse case 1.7%
Revenue −15%
TolerableInterest coverageBase 2.5x adverse case 2.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 7.7% adverse case 5.7%
Interest rate +2pp
TolerableInterest coverageBase 2.5x adverse case 1.7x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 7.7% adverse case 5.2%
Interest coverage limit
Current margin 6.4ppInterest coverage limit at an operating margin of 4.2%
Interest expense coverage threshold
Financials at a glance
Cenovus Energy's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.
Who held it · filings
Filed recordA historical record from curated-guru 13F filings and DART 5%+ major-holding disclosures.
US 13F는 분기 공시이며 최대 45일 뒤 제출될 수 있습니다.
Curated gurus reporting this holding
A curated subset of well-known investors — not the full institutional ownership.
- Bridgewater Associates284,802주2026-06-30
Connections
AI-extracted related companies · for reference
Customers
BPShellTotalEnergies
Competitors
Same theme
Oil Sands
Recent filings
Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.
Signal history (last ~2 years)
Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.
Cup handle×1
26-08-14·
52-week high breakout×4
26-08-20·26-08-19·26-08-18·26-08-17·
New MA alignment×2
26-08-12·26-08-03·
“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.
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