한국어
Quantus

AeroVironment

AVAV-US · Nasdaq
$148.20-7.50%
2026-08-24 close

AeroVironment — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

The grade and valuation bands are below — free to read.

Loading chart…
Close
AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

Explore this stock further
Review signal, financial and filing context in chat
Explore in chat →

New high + volume — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every new-high-plus-volume pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-25)

Last 30 sessions
257 picks
Next-day win rate
41%
Avg next-day
-0.41%
vs market
-0.58%p

Beat the market on 40.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
08-21 42.9%08-20 57.1%08-19 11.1%08-18 75%08-17 50%08-14 66.7%08-13 16.7%08-12 25%08-11 45.5%08-10 23.1%08-07 54.5%08-06 46.2%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Trade plan

Decide the exit before you enter. Set what you are willing to lose first, and the share count follows — so you know the worst case before you buy.

Fill entry, stop, account size and risk percent to get a share count. The stop must sit below the entry.

This is a calculator, not advice, and it does not promise any outcome. You choose the stop and target — the button values (ATR, recent low/high) are observations from past prices. Actual fills depend on the order book and liquidity.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 199 상사,자본재 peers · not investment advice

C+
Overall: 상사,자본재 135/199 · top 68%
Factor composite · relative position in sector

Valuation in its own history

PER 169.63 · PBR 8.35 — own history (2007-01~) percentiles 21/100 · 6/100

PER21/100
PBR6/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2025
Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 7.56
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
7.56
Beneish M-Score
-2.01

No statistical flag

Sloan accrual
4.01%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Why has this company moved this way?

Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.

운전자본 팽창 → 현금 고갈 → 유동성 위기

Warning

순운전자본이 +24.9% 팽창하며 현금이 묶이고 있다. 영업CF/순이익 비율이 -3%로 이익 대비 현금 회수가 부족하고, 유동비율도 3.56에서 3.52로 하락했다.

Evidence

순운전자본 YoY +24.9%영업CF/순이익 -3%유동비율 3.56→3.52

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

3/9Weak

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score3/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFNot passed
  • Improving ΔROANot passed
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtNot passed
  • Higher current ratioNot passed
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginNot passed
  • Higher asset turnoverPass

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Forensic signals

Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.

Margin trendWarning

영업이익률 악화 (10.0% → 5.0%, -5.1%p). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Margin trendWarning

영업외손익 급변 (영업이익 대비 37% 규모 변동) — 일회성 손익 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-25

상사,자본재

This stock is in 상사,자본재: revenue rank 102 of 188, share 0.1%.

102 / 1880.1%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Raytheon Technologies9.2%
  2. 2Lockheed Martin8.1%
  3. 3Boeing7.6%
  4. 4General Dynamics5.4%
  5. 5Northrop Grumman4.7%
  6. 6AeroVironment0.1%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 24.9%
HHI 358188 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

MixedConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
11.85
Direction
확대
Level
보통
Years
10

Value lens

P90/P10
23.2
Median P/B
3.41
Level
넓음
n
172

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
5%
Interest coverage
14.4x
Return on equity (ROE)
4.9%

Operating margin −5pp

Operating loss
Interest coverageBase 14.4x adverse case -0.1x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 4.9% adverse case -0.3%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 14.4x adverse case 12.3x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 4.9% adverse case 3.6%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 14.4x adverse case 5.4x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 4.9% adverse case 3.8%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 4.6pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 0.3%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

AeroVironment's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Connections

AI-extracted related companies · for reference

Customers
U.S. ArmyU.S. Marine Corps
🔗 See in the full market map →

📦 ETFs holding this stock

by weight · top-10 constituents basis

Passive money holding this stock ≈ $72M(lower bound — top-10 basis, not a forecast)

Factual holdings info from daily disclosures — not a recommendation.

Look up another stock →

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

Like these rules? Run them automatically.

Quantus turns rules like these into backtests and automated trading — same team, free to start.

Quantus Signal · live data · not investment advice · Privacy Policy