매출 하락 → 마진 압박 → 현금 악화
Critical매출이 -20.1% 감소하며 영업이익률이 1.6%에서 -3.7%로 하락했다. 영업현금흐름도 동반 감소하여 수익-현금 순환이 약화되고 있다.
Evidence
매출 YoY -20.1% (2024→2025)영업이익률 1.6%→-3.7%영업CF 10,106→2,922
ECSTELECOM
A067010 · KOSDAQ₩2,430+1.04%
2026-08-25 closeECSTELECOM — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?
The grade and valuation bands are below — free to read.
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AI Insight
Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly
Why this signalSignal guide
cup-and-handle
Breakout
Cup depth / width
13.4% · 7w
Pivot
₩2,210
Confidence
0.47
Moving-average alignment
No
New high + volume — the real recordrecord · not a prediction
Not this one stock, but every new-high-plus-volume pick we actually published (Korea market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-25)
Last 30 sessions
402 picks
Next-day win rate
51.6%
Avg next-day
-0.06%
vs market
-0.24%p
Beat the market on 45.3% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).
Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
08-23 60%08-21 36.4%08-20 44.4%08-19 0%08-18 27.3%08-14 23.1%08-13 41.7%08-12 70%08-11 77.8%08-10 22.2%08-07 61.5%08-06 27.3%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.
Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.
Trade plan
Decide the exit before you enter. Set what you are willing to lose first, and the share count follows — so you know the worst case before you buy.
Fill entry, stop, account size and risk percent to get a share count. The stop must sit below the entry.
This is a calculator, not advice, and it does not promise any outcome. You choose the stop and target — the button values (ATR, recent low/high) are observations from past prices. Actual fills depend on the order book and liquidity.
Valuation Grades
Relative to 166 소프트웨어 peers · not investment advice
A
Overall: 소프트웨어 31/166 · top 18%
Factor composite · relative position in sector
Valuation in its own history
PER 47.69 · PBR 0.58 — own history (2007-12~) percentiles 1/100 · 93/100
PER1/100
PBR93/100
Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).
Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.
Annual dividend
Split-adjusted annual DPS history and available grade axes
Paid 18 consecutive years · Raised 0 consecutive years · Yield 2.06% (based on 2025 payment of 50원) · 3-year growth -30.7%
Per-share amount adjusted for splits and capital reductions · Factual information, not investment advice.
Financial safety
Reference indicatorAs of 2025Safe zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 7.90
Distress
Grey
Safe
- Altman Z''
- 7.90
- Beneish M-Score
- -2.72
- Sloan accrual
- -3.10%
No statistical flag
부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Why has this company moved this way?
Auditable observations with the original numeric evidence.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score
6/9Moderate
Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.
Financial improvement score6/9
Profitability
- Positive ROAPass
- Positive OCFPass
- Improving ΔROANot passed
- Accruals (OCF > net income)Pass
Leverage & liquidity
- Lower debtPass
- Higher current ratioPass
- No new sharesPass
Efficiency
- Higher gross marginNot passed
- Higher asset turnoverNot passed
Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사
Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Forensic signals
Anomaly and structural signals observed in the financial statements.
Margin trendWarning
영업이익률 악화 (1.6% → -3.7%, -5.3%p). 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Margin trendWarning
영업외손익 급변 (영업이익 대비 80% 규모 변동) — 일회성 손익 주의. 통계적 정황 신호이며 회계부정 단정이 아닙니다.
Factual information, not investment advice.
Industry structure
KRAs of 2026-08-25소프트웨어
This stock is in 소프트웨어: revenue rank 78 of 166, share 0.1%.
78 / 1660.1%revenue share
Who dominates this industry?
- 1삼성에스디에스18.6%
- 2NAVER14.5%
- 3카카오10.6%
- 4현대오토에버5%
- 5NICE4.1%
- 6이씨에스0.1%
Concentration
DistributedCR3 43.7%HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.
Polarization
MixedConsistentPolarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.
Margin lens
- IQR%p
- 9.31
- Direction
- 축소
- Level
- 보통
- Years
- 7
Value lens
- P90/P10
- 6.4
- Median P/B
- 1.27
- Level
- 보통
- n
- 162
Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)
Factual information, not investment advice.
Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions
Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.
Base metrics
- Operating margin
- -3.7%
- Interest coverage
- -86.5x
- Return on equity (ROE)
- 1.2%
Operating margin −5pp
Operating lossInterest coverageBase -86.5x adverse case -204.3x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 1.2% adverse case -12.5%
Revenue −15%
Interest coverage riskInterest coverageBase -86.5x adverse case -73.5x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 1.2% adverse case -4.5%
Interest rate +2pp
Interest coverage riskInterest coverageBase -86.5x adverse case -5.5x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 1.2% adverse case -6.2%
Interest coverage limit
Already below the limit by 3.7ppInterest coverage limit at an operating margin of 0%
Interest expense coverage threshold
Key suppliers · Annual report
Annual reportDART · 2026-06-11Suppliers disclosed by the company in its 2026-06-11 annual report.
Suppliers without disclosed amount
OEM
Financials at a glance
ECSTELECOM's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.
Connections
AI-extracted related companies · for reference
🔗 See in the full market map →Recent filings
ECSTELECOM's latest filings on Korea's DART. Open a headline for a reference summary and the original.
Source: DART (Korea electronic disclosure)
Signal history (last ~2 years)
Every occurrence on this stock, with the return 20 trading days later. Small sample — a record, not a prediction.
Cup breakout×1
26-08-20·
“·” = fewer than 20 trading days since the event. Cup-and-handle entries are days our board actually showed the badge (archive grows daily since 2026-05-12); others are recomputed from price data.
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