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Century Aluminum

CENX-US · Nasdaq
$43.66-0.59%
2026-08-24 close

Century Aluminum — pricey right now, or cheap? And what signals are flashing today?

The grade and valuation bands are below — free to read.

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1 guru reporting 13F holdingsBridgewater (founded by Ray Dalio)
AI Insight

Why these signals fired — only backtest-proven edge, told honestly

Why this signalSignal guide

Moving-average alignment
No

No active signal.

New high + volume — the real recordrecord · not a prediction

Not this one stock, but every new-high-plus-volume pick we actually published (US market). When this stock flashes the signal, it is treated by the same rule.(as of 2026-08-25)

Last 30 sessions
257 picks
Next-day win rate
41%
Avg next-day
-0.41%
vs market
-0.58%p

Beat the market on 40.6% of picks (each pick vs its own day’s market average).

Recent publish days (next-day win rate)
08-21 42.9%08-20 57.1%08-19 11.1%08-18 75%08-17 50%08-14 66.7%08-13 16.7%08-12 25%08-11 45.5%08-10 23.1%08-07 54.5%08-06 46.2%
This stock has not flashed this signal recently — the record above is the signal’s own, not this stock’s.

Entry is the latest close at publish time; next-day is the following close. “Market” is the equal-weighted average of every stock in the same market that day; delisted names are excluded from both. Fees, taxes and slippage are not included. An observed record over a short window, not a pre-registered backtest. Not investment advice.

Trade plan

Decide the exit before you enter. Set what you are willing to lose first, and the share count follows — so you know the worst case before you buy.

Fill entry, stop, account size and risk percent to get a share count. The stop must sit below the entry.

This is a calculator, not advice, and it does not promise any outcome. You choose the stop and target — the button values (ATR, recent low/high) are observations from past prices. Actual fills depend on the order book and liquidity.

Valuation Grades

Relative to 119 비철,목재등 peers · not investment advice

A-
Overall: 비철,목재등 25/119 · top 21%
Factor composite · relative position in sector

Valuation in its own history

PER 12.1 · PBR 5.87 — own history (2000-01~) percentiles 90/100 · 8/100

PER90/100
PBR8/100

Higher indicates lower valuation relative to its history (based on earnings and book yields).

Earnings percentiles can fluctuate for cyclical companies (including loss periods), so the book basis is shown alongside. Companies with large share buybacks can have structurally high PBR. Factual information, not investment advice.

Financial safety

Reference indicatorAs of 2024
Distress zoneFinancial-metric reference signal
Altman Z'' zoneZ'' 0.20
Distress
Grey
Safe
The marker shows the current Z'' value within the displayed zones.
Altman Z''
0.20
Beneish M-Score
-1.72

Statistical manipulation-risk signal

Sloan accrual
18.63%

부실·조작 위험을 나타내는 사실 지표입니다. 투자 조언이 아니며, 검증 전이라 참고용입니다.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Earnings quality · Piotroski F-Score

6/9Moderate

Piotroski measures year-over-year financial improvement, not absolute quality.

Financial improvement score6/9

Profitability

  • Positive ROAPass
  • Positive OCFNot passed
  • Improving ΔROAPass
  • Accruals (OCF > net income)Not passed

Leverage & liquidity

  • Lower debtPass
  • Higher current ratioPass
  • No new sharesPass

Efficiency

  • Higher gross marginPass
  • Higher asset turnoverNot passed

Calculation note: F7(신주)은 equity/asset 유지로 근사

Already-stable companies may score lower when year-over-year improvement is limited.

Factual information, not investment advice.

Industry structure

USAs of 2026-08-25

비철,목재등

This stock is in 비철,목재등: revenue rank 28 of 72, share 0.8%.

28 / 720.8%revenue share

Who dominates this industry?

  1. 1Freeport McMoRan9.7%
  2. 2Newmont7.1%
  3. 3International Paper7.1%
  4. 4Amcor5.7%
  5. 5Alcoa4.5%
  6. 6Century Aluminum0.8%

Concentration

DistributedCR3 23.9%
HHI 42072 revenue members

HHI and CR3 are separate industrial-organization facts; they are not the polarization verdict.

Polarization

Winner-take-all deepeningConsistent

Polarization measures industry gaps and structure, not valuation, forecast, or investment advice.

Margin lens

IQR%p
29.01
Direction
확대
Level
넓음
Years
20

Value lens

P90/P10
10.3
Median P/B
2.54
Level
넓음
n
53

Survivorship note: 현재 산업 멤버십을 과거 연도에 소급 적용 — 과거 진입·퇴출 기업 미반영(복원 불가)

Factual information, not investment advice.

Risk sensitivity — adverse assumptions

Metric changes under stated assumptions; not a forecast or investment advice.

Base metrics

Operating margin
16.5%
Interest coverage
8.5x
Return on equity (ROE)
48.5%

Operating margin −5pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 8.5x adverse case 5.9x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 48.5% adverse case 30.7%

Revenue −15%

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 8.5x adverse case 7.2x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 48.5% adverse case 38.8%

Interest rate +2pp

Tolerable
Interest coverageBase 8.5x adverse case 5.4x
Return on equity (ROE)Base 48.5% adverse case 43.1%

Interest coverage limit

Current margin 14.6pp

Interest coverage limit at an operating margin of 1.9%

Interest expense coverage threshold

Financials at a glance

Century Aluminum's latest results and balance sheet. The bars track the last three periods.

Who held it · filings

Filed record

A historical record from curated-guru 13F filings and DART 5%+ major-holding disclosures.

US 13F는 분기 공시이며 최대 45일 뒤 제출될 수 있습니다.

Curated gurus reporting this holding

A curated subset of well-known investors — not the full institutional ownership.

Recent filings

Filings for overseas stocks are on the way. For now we cover Korean stocks only.

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